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February 20, 2026

2026 Commercial Real Estate Industry Outlook

Best practices for property owners in a divided insurance market

Summary

  • Property insurance pricing eases, but liability costs continue to rise.
  • Hospitality faces rising liability risks despite steady demand.
  • Multifamily underwriting tightens due to aging systems and crime concerns.
  • Industrial sector demands higher engineering standards and risk controls.
  • Retail and office sectors adapt to evolving security and maintenance needs.

After two years of stalled deal flow and steep borrowing costs, commercial real estate is entering 2026 with signs of increased momentum compared to recent years before the pandemic.

Capital appears to be moving again, absorption is strengthening across key property types, and economic visibility seems to be improving.

As the market shifts, owners and investors face a divided insurance environment—a situation affecting underwriting, valuations, and capital planning.

The tale of two markets: property relief meets escalating liability

1. Property savings may help on the margin, but many portfolios might need to reallocate some of those savings to strengthen casualty limits, absorb higher retentions, and address gaps created by new exclusions.

2. Property owners are seeing some meaningful relief on property insurance. Pricing has decreased by 10%–20% across many asset types as surplus line insurers expand coverage capacity. The 2025 catastrophe (CAT) season showed relative stability, and more insurers seem willing to cover older, CAT-exposed, or complex assets.

This deeper property market gives owners the opportunity to: 

  • Update valuations to better reflect actual rebuild costs, which may reduce underinsurance and align limits with current construction and labor costs. 
  • Restructure shared and layered programs with more flexibility to adjust carrier participation, consolidate layers, and design coverage towers that better fit lender and portfolio needs. 
  • Access coverage options that were previously unavailable, with more insurers offering limits and options for high-value, coastal, or older properties.

While property insurance shows some easing, the liability market appears to be hardening—driven by factors such as third-party litigation funding, rising medical costs, plaintiff-friendly venues, and an increase in nuclear verdicts.

For owners, this may result in:

1. Higher general liability and umbrella pricing, even for portfolios with strong loss histories

2. Reduced availability in the first $10 million excess layer, often requiring multiple carriers to fill what a single insurer once would have

3. More frequent restrictive exclusions in both primary and excess layers, particularly for assault and battery (A&B), sexual abuse/molestation (SAM), and weapons/firearms 

4. Increased reliance on surplus lines markets, especially for multifamily and hospitality sectors

5. Greater challenges meeting lender requirements, as some standard market exclusions may conflict with agency and institutional loan terms

Well-managed properties are not exempt; insurers are adjusting pricing to reflect severity across the board. Because many liability claims arise one to two years after an incident—or even after an asset has been sold—owners should consider long-tail exposure and ensure historical coverage aligns with their risk retention and funding strategies.

Managing risk in 2026: sector-by-sector overview

Performance varies by sector, and insurers are adjusting underwriting to the realities of each asset class. As a result, the steps owners may need to take to remain insurable—and meet lender expectations—differ across:

  • Hospitality
  • Multifamily
  • Industrial
  • Retail
  • Office

Hospitality: steady demand, rising liability concerns

Hospitality continues to see steady demand, but insurers are focusing on operational exposures that may drive severe claims, including high employee turnover, inconsistent training, weak access control, and cyber-physical vulnerabilities (such as property management systems, keycard systems, and payments).

Underwriting considerations include:

  • A&B, SAM, and human trafficking exposures 
  • Guest safety practices and access control 
  • Incident documentation and response protocols
  • Vendor management (security, valet, housekeeping)

Recommended practices include:

  • Implementing recurring training to address turnover-related risks 
  • Strengthening access control measures such as keycard elevators and ID verification for key reissuance
  • Thoroughly documenting incidents to demonstrate diligence and potentially reduce claim severity 
  • Enhancing cyber-physical systems to limit operational disruption

Multifamily: steady demand, increased underwriting challenges

Fundamentals remain solid—renting is generally more affordable than buying—but underwriting friction is rising due to aging systems, increased water damage frequency, security concerns, and rising crime rates. Affordable housing faces additional risks under the Low-Income Housing Tax Credits (LIHTC) if units are uninhabitable at year's end. IRS rules may revoke that year’s credit even if insured. Standard policies typically exclude this timing risk, so a Tax Credit Endorsement may be needed to protect LIHTC value after loss.

Underwriting considerations include:

  • Water losses and deferred maintenance 
  • Crime exposure, especially in workforce and affordable housing 
  • A&B and SAM exclusions conflicting with agency lender requirements 
  • Aging systems: plumbing, HVAC, electrical, roofs 
  • Environmental exposures (mold, contamination)
  • Increasing habitability claims

Recommended practices include:

  • Conducting proactive maintenance to reduce water-loss frequency
  • Improving lighting, entry systems, and security protocols in higher-crime areas
  • Verifying that A&B and SAM coverage meet lender requirements before refinancing or acquisition
  • Adding environmental liability coverage to address common gaps
  • Ensuring valuations reflect actual rebuild costs to avoid co-insurance penalties and underinsurance

Industrial and data centers: growing demand, higher engineering expectations

With global demand for digital infrastructure  projected to require $6.7 trillion in new data  center investment by 2030, insurers have raised expectations around critical systems.

Underwriting considerations include:

  • Power redundancy and reliability 
  • Cooling systems and thermal management 
  • Fire protection design and impairment controls
  • Business interruption risk and recovery plans

Recommended practices include:

  • Maintaining and documenting robust electrical and cooling-system inspections
  • Ensuring fire suppression and monitoring systems meet current codes and insurer specifications
  • Mapping contingency plans for power loss or cooling failure
  • Conducting pre-renewal engineering reviews to strengthen risk profiles

Retail and mixed-use: steady performance with liability concerns

Retail has held up better than some expected, with recent vacancies driven more by big-box bankruptcies than retail fundamentals. Mixed-use developments benefit from built-in foot traffic and diversified revenue streams, but overlapping uses introduce operational and risk complexities.

Underwriting considerations include:

  • Parking lot incidents, assaults, and slip-and-fall frequency 
  • Lighting, camera coverage, and security practices 
  • Governance challenges across mixed-use environments (retail plus residential plus office) 
  • Clear allocation of maintenance and liability responsibilities

Recommended practices include:

  • Improving lighting and camera visibility, especially in parking areas
  • Standardizing incident reporting and maintenance logs across all uses
  • Clarifying responsibility for repairs, security, and maintenance in leases and vendor contracts
  • Monitoring tenant mix for higher-risk uses and adjusting controls accordingly
  • Using contractual risk transfer to third-party vendors when available

Office: stability for Class A, challenges for older assets

Class A office properties continue to stabilize with renewed leasing in major coastal and Sun Belt markets.

Underwriting considerations include:

  • Vacancy levels and security during low occupancy 
  • Deferred maintenance or postponed capital improvements 
  • Construction and conversion risk for repositioning projects

Recommended practices include:

  • Maintaining building systems proactively, especially in partially vacant properties
  • Strengthening security for low-occupancy floors or buildings
  • Engaging insurers early in the design process for conversions to align on construction risk
  • Using lower property rates to reinvest in modernization and improve outcomes

Positioning your portfolio for 2026 and beyond

A specialized insurance partner can support efforts to meet 2026 operational expectations and help translate risk management practices into improved renewal outcomes. This includes identifying exclusions early, structuring programs to anticipate lender expectations, and coordinating engineering reviews and loss-control priorities.

In a divided insurance market—where property savings may need to offset higher liability costs—owners may benefit from a partner who brings market intelligence, creative program design, and hands-on support to help keep portfolios insurable, competitive, and prepared for future market cycles.

The right advisor can help ensure insurance aligns with your business plan. Reach out to a Real Estate specialist today.

Strengthen your real estate risk management.

Whether acquiring, refinancing, or repositioning assets, find out how to protect your portfolio’s long-term performance.


Contributors

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Stephen McCord

Executive Vice President, Business Insurance, Real Estate & Hospitality